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题名

Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion

作者
通讯作者Wang,Lei
发表日期
2020-08-01
DOI
发表期刊
ISSN
2328-4277
EISSN
2328-4277
卷号8期号:8
摘要

With the increasing pressure from population growth and economic development, northern China (NC) faces a grand challenge of water scarcity, which can be further exacerbated by climatic and societal changes. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project is designed to mitigate the water scarcity in NC. However, few studies have quantified the impact of the SNWD on water scarcity within the context of climatic and societal changes and its potential effects on economic and agricultural food in the region. We used water supply stress index (WaSSI) to quantify water scarcity within the context of environmental change in NC and developed a method to estimate the economic and agricultural impacts of the SNWD. Focuses were put on alleviating the water supply shortage and economic and agricultural benefits for the water-receiving NC. We find that societal changes, especially economic growth, are the major contributors to water scarcity in NC during 2009–2099. To completely mitigate the water scarcity of NC, at least an additional water supply of 13 billion m/year (comparable to the annual diversion water by SNWD Central Route) will be necessary. Although SNWD alone cannot provide the full solution to NC's water shortage in next few decades, it can significantly alleviate the water supply stress in NC (particularly Beijing), considerably increasing the agricultural production (more than 115 Tcal/year) and bringing economic benefits (more than 51 billion RMB/year) through supplying industrial and domestic water use. Additionally, the transfer project could have impacts on the ecological environment in the exporting regions.

相关链接[Scopus记录]
收录类别
语种
英语
学校署名
其他
资助项目
Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20060202][XDA19070301] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41901046][91747201] ; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)[01LS1201A]
WOS研究方向
Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目
Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号
WOS:000565640100010
出版者
Scopus记录号
2-s2.0-85089842065
来源库
Scopus
引用统计
被引频次[WOS]:38
成果类型期刊论文
条目标识符//www.snoollab.com/handle/2SGJ60CL/153602
专题工学院_环境科学与工程学院
作者单位
1.Key Laboratory of Tibetan Environment Changes and Land Surface Processes,Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS),Beijing,China
2.CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences,Beijing,China
3.Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing,China
4.College of Earth and Planetary,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,China
5.State Key Laboratory of Hydro-Science and Engineering,Department of Hydraulic Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing,China
6.College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,China
7.College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing,China
8.Regional Climate Group,Department of Earth Sciences,University of Gothenburg,Sweden
9.State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science,Wuhan University,Wuhan,China
10.Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research,Potsdam,Germany
11.School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Southern University of Science and Technology,Shenzhen,China
12.International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA),Schlossplatz,Laxenburg,Austria
13.Ven Te Chow Hydrosystems Laboratory,Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering,University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign,Urbana,United States
14.State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,China
15.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing,China
16.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute,Nanjing,China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yin,Yuanyuan,Wang,Lei,Wang,Zhongjing,et al. Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion[J]. Earths Future,2020,8(8).
APA
Yin,Yuanyuan.,Wang,Lei.,Wang,Zhongjing.,Tang,Qiuhong.,Piao,Shilong.,...&Zhang,Jianyun.(2020).Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion.Earths Future,8(8).
MLA
Yin,Yuanyuan,et al."Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion".Earths Future 8.8(2020).
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